Thursday, December 19, 2024

Navigating development models: old and new

 

Today in its nationalist revival mode, India does not want to look back at its days of being backward, forever seen as a country of poverty, forever under the developing tag. It wants to match up to the best in other countries, to be not only a global power in terms of geopolitics, but also in its infrastructure, facilities, lifestyles. The ruling intelligentsia no more like to describe the country in terms of social fractures, held back by caste, or rural backwardness. The focus very much is on large scale manufacturing and business and employment generation. Agriculture and industry both are now seen in line with new tech, global supply chains, empowered farmers and factory workers, digital support systems, systems of accountability and all the managerialism that goes with it. In this new vision of the country, there is a strong distancing from older ideas – such as Gandhian views on development and economic life, all the buzzwords of decentralised, participative and smaller scale, local development, or NGO-shaped discourses of backwardness.

Among those who do not subscribe to this changed narrative, there is a great concern about the impact on both the environment and human communities that this is causing. Is this what the story simply is? – one of sensible and sustainable development versus the big business, neoliberal, capitalist push? It seems to me that while these concerns are still quite real the picture is more complex.

To an extent the wider narrative shift is quite understandable. To take an example, the language within NGOs and academia had long painted the 4-5 states in the north of India as BIMARU states, wherein human development indicators such as maternal mortality, infant mortality, feoticide numbers were high, sex ratios poor, education levels low, industrialisation minimal, and much of the population engaged in low-tech, and medium to low scale agriculture, or its allied sectors, and there was a lot of rural casteism too. While development professionals did take action to improve these social indicators, they also tended to entrench the very idea that these are backward states that are unable to come out of their rut. Unwittingly this attitude served the continuous need for development programmes in the region. It however did little to bring the states forward, and develop their own impetus to address their problems. I was pleased to see that it wasn’t just me thinking this way. I read a 2007 article by Raghuram Rajan and Arvind Subramanian titled ‘Does Aid Affect Governance’. These are some lines from it:

By expanding a government’s resource envelope, aid reduces its need to explain its actions to citizens, which may reduce its need to govern well (Knack (2001) and Brautigam and Knack (2004)). In particular, poor governance could lead to a deterioration in the quality of institutions necessary for a good business environment, as the government falters in its responsibilities to maintain rule of law, ensure a predictable judiciary and contract enforcement, and limit corruption….

So when the Hindu nationalist intelligentsia and politicians questioned the old narrative, they did have a point. And we did see with the regime change, that states such as Bihar or UP could also create opportunities via industry, manufacturing, support for agriculture, tourism etc. So however neoliberal that may sound, a positive self-image, and a certain industrial ambition, can motivate and drive a people, or a state.

Yet, what the change also brought with it was lots of highways, high rise apartments, smart cities, tunnels in mountains, thousands of trees cut for all this, buying up of agricultural land, continued reduction of common land, and what not. One can of course argue, that even the older infrastructure we had, did come at similar costs. Perhaps it wasn’t so visible, with older media; perhaps its narrative was more muted; perhaps it served the older elite and middle class. Data does tell us that pastoral and tribal communities have had to move due to development action in the past too. Possibly India’s infrastructure is growing much faster now too, in ways comparable to developed nations. (Not that I understand it much, but someone spoke to me about ‘gross fixed capital formation’ – which indicates levels of the nation’s money being put into fundamental infrastructure. India’s levels have been this high only once before, and they indicate high levels of investment is building a longer-term infrastructure base).

This does not mean that sustainability is completely sidelined. In fact even sustainability seems to have gone big! It’s now all about big solar power projects, hydrogen energy. The government itself is invested in organic farming, seed preservation, reviving millets. These are no more radical attempts by some NGOs like Navdanya or Vanastree. The government also wants to prevent the intervention of vested foreign interests in agriculture. Of course they do this too via private capital in agriculture, which they feel will rationalize the system, but they tend to choose national or favoured foreign corporates which they believe (possibly) will not undermine the nation. One also sees several efforts on smaller scale by NGOs, entreprenuers and CSRs to build ecologically balanced spaces. How effective such efforts can be in the eye of the wider storm of large scale development? I don’t know. There are strange distortions too. The trends for millets for example has made millets an expensive food, for instance. The really meaningful efforts for ecological balance are still small scale.

Perhaps we would be naïve to ignore the importance of bigger scale systems, remaining caught in a romance of the small? After all change can come only through systemic shifts in larger socio-economic structures. Here I think some of the arguments that favour the new narrative are worth considering, though not necessarily accepted blindly. An argument from a Hindu nationalist thinker I heard was that one of the reasons that India remained deeply caste-ridden and unequal was because of its deep ruralisation. From a historical perspective he argued that after the decline of the great kingdoms (and here he refers to the early medieval period), a lot of the large cities declined, and majority of people were in rural areas, where caste became entrenched. He believes it is urbanization that breaks this pattern– as caste has strong links with feudalism. He and some other political thinkers believe that by focusing on urbanizing tier 2 and 3 towns, and small areas, and connecting them via highways, creating industry jobs etc., these social features can be altered[1]. It can be asked that when hereditary, feudal hierarchies existed in almost all societies, why has Indian society become so locked and defined by it. Why unlike others it has not been able to weaken these ties in the same way. Of course there may be many answers to that –religious authority, excessive colonial recording and research, electoral politics and caste activism, and so on. There is to some extent a troubled relation with our past – which we want to shed and conserve in the same breath. Anyhow, so the view here is that urbanization, industry, connectivity, technology, aspiration, economic participation – all these will open up a society which till about 2 decades ago was run chiefly by its elite and old middle class. A similar argument was made for bullet trains. I like others, had felt that India really did not need bullet trains, and there was no need to emulate other nations without reasonable grounds. This was again based on the idea, maybe even romance, of gentle paces, local culture, and efficient railway systems that have a rhythm of their own. Yet the view of those pushing fast trains is again about creating well connected city and town networks, allowing the growth of expanded hubs of urban activity and living. Perhaps, developed countries of both Asia and the West have done the same for their own rural areas, allowing for a larger modernization of their social fabric? So, then this means the old must give way for the new, then? Are there also benefits? Will less Biharis now migrate to Punjab, Gujarat or Kerala to work in the future? In a recent discussion on the Punjab, I heard a view. Academics from the region mentioned that a romantic idea of Punjab as a rural area has been developed, though in truth it has historically been one of the areas with maximum urbanization, as well as modern life, culture and education. They were arguing that Punjab needs to think beyond the idea of the ‘pind’ and address economic stagnation.

Of course one can question all this discussion quite easily too. Much of the modern growth is not sustainable, it is harmful to humans and nature alike, and may not last fiscally either. Residential areas have poor occupation, cracking walls, and sewage and waste disposal problems. And so much more. One can cite the impact of fast trains on animal-human conflicts. One can speak of Kerala which involves another kind of rural-urban continuum, which is much more people friendly.

I think both views have merit, though the rapid development model has perhaps too high a cost. Surely, we can no more live in the romance of the village republic, the imagined Gandhian idea of the self-sufficient village, wherein every caste does its professional task and contributes some idea of a whole. Caste activism has deconstructed this picture. Yet the very same Gandhian economic view also went in other useful directions, and engaged with ideas to build ecologically balanced and wholesome lives for people. Many of these are as relevant today as ever, as long as we do not ignore the realities of social inequalities. There is of course a dual aspect. It is the knowledge of specific communities - tribes and castes – that is the carrier of indigenous knowledge as well. It is the same feature that prevents beautiful uses of this very knowledge.

I have watched over the past few years, various Japanese, Chinese and other Asian films and dramas. I see hints of how modernization and indigenous knowledge has been simultaneously nurtured, some of it in ways better than what India did (and some less?). It is up to us perhaps to see what meaningful ideas we catch in our fishnet. For example, if we borrow from Japan –there is Foukouka’s natural farming. But there is also the quick fix solution of Miyawaki forests that have become to new trend today – allowing builders and developers to flatten old trees and then plant new rapidly growing ones. All kinds of knowledges and development paths can serve some benefits, I suppose, if they are invoked from a sensitive, informed and balanced perspective.



[1] It is also a fact that both for governments as well as market interests, the class group they want to reach out to now, is the new middle classes and poor. Just like in the 90s it was all about our own middle classes. One can see it in much of the advertising and promotion material one sees. There is felt need to tap this talent, and market, also of course also to uplift and empower. Ironically perhaps, these have always gone together.

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